CMIP Phase 5 (CMIP5)

In 2008 the WCRP Working Group on Coupled Modelling (WGCM), at its 12th Session, endorsed the CMIP5 protocol, which defined a set of thirty-five climate model experiments designed to be useful in 1) assessing the mechanisms responsible for model differences in poorly understood feedbacks associated with the carbon cycle and with clouds, 2) examining climate “predictability” and exploring the ability of models to predict climate on decadal time scales, and, more generally, 3) determining why similarly forced models produce a range of responses.

For complete details visit the dedicated website on CMIP5 hosted by  PCMDI.

• Key publications
  • Decadal climate prediction
  • CMIP5 Model Output
  • Emissions scenarios and future climate forcings
  • Climate feedbacks

Key publications

• Taylor, K.E., R.J. Stouffer, G.A. Meehl, An overview of CMIP5 and the experiment design, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 93, 485-498, DOI:10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00094.1, 2012.
• A Strategy for Climate Change Stabilization Experiments with AOGCMs and ESMs.
  G. A. Meehl and K. Hibbard (2007), Report from the Aspen Global Change Institute 2006 Session – Earth System Models: The Next Generation, July 30 – August 5, 2006 and joint WGCM/AIMES Steering Committee Meeting 27 September 2006. WCRP Informal Report No 3/2007; ICPO Publication No. 112; IGBP Report No. 57.
• A strategy for climate change stabilisation experiments
  Hibbard, K. A. , G. H. Meehl, P. Cox, and P. Friedlingstein (2007), EOS, 88, 217-221.
• The WCRP Coupled Model Intercomparison Project – Phase 5 (CMIP5) – CLIVAR Exchanges Special Issue, No. 56, Vol 16, 32pp, 2011.

Decadal Climate prediction

• Coordinated experimentation to study multi-decadal prediction and near-term climate change WGCM/WGSIP/CLIVAR/WCRP sub-group (Tim Stockdale, Gabi Hegerl, Jerry Meehl, James Murphy, Ron Stouffer, Marco Giorgetta, Masihide Kimoto, Tim Palmer, Wilco Hazeleger, Detlef Stammer, Ben Kirtman and George Boer) (2008).
• Decadal prediction: Can it be skillful?
  Meehl, G. A., L. Goddard, J. Murphy, R. J. Stouffer, G. Boer, G. Danabasoglu, K. Dixon, M. A. Giorgetta, A. Greene, E. Hawkins, G. Hegerl, D. Karoly, N. Keenlyside, M. Kimoto, B. Kirtman, A. Navarra, R. Pulwarty, D. Smith, D. Stammer, and T. Stockdale (2009), Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., DOI: 10.1175/2009BAMS2778.1.
• Data and Bias Correction for Decadal Climate Predictions
  CMIP-WGCM-WGSIP Decadal Climate Prediction Panel, International CLIVAR Project Office Publication Series 150, 5pp, 2011.

For more publications, click here.

CMIP5 Model Output

• Sampling Physical Ocean Fields in WCRP CMIP5 Simulations
  Griffies, S. M., A. J. Adcroft, H. Aiki, V. Balaji, M. Bentson, F. Bryan, G. Danabasoglu, S. Denvil, H. Drange, M. England, J. Gregory, R. W. Hallberg, S. Legg, T. Martin, T. McDougall, A.Pirani, G. Schmidt, D. Stevens, K. E. Taylor, and H. Tsujino (2009), ICPO Publication Series 137, WCRP Informal Report No. 3/2009.
• IPCC Standard Output from Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere GCMs
  WGCM Climate Simulation Panel with the assistance of PCMDI, 34pp., 2007.
• The Earth System Grid: Enabling Access to Multimodel Climate Simulation Data
  D. N. Williams, R. Ananthakrishnan, D. E. Bernholdt, S. Bharathi, D. Brown, M. Chen, A. L. Chervenak, L. Cinquini, R. Drach, I. T. Foster, P. Fox, D. Fraser, J. Garcia, S. Hankin, P. Jones, D. E. Middleton, J. Schwidder, R. Schweitzer, R. Schuler, A. Shoshani, F. Siebenlist, A. Sim, W. G. Strand, M. Su, and N. Wilhelmi (2009). Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., DOI: 10.1175/2008BAMS2459.1.
• Good Practice Guidance Paper on Assessing and Combining Multi Model Climate Projections
  Knutti, R., G. Abramowitz, M. Collins, V. Eyring, P.J. Gleckler, B. Hewitson, and L. Mearns, In: Meeting Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Expert Meeting on Assessing and Combining Multi Model Climate Projections [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. IPCC Working Group I Technical Support Unit, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland, 2010.

Emissions scenarios and future climate forcings

• Towards New Scenarios for Analysis of Emissions, Climate Change, Impacts, and Response Strategies
  Moss R., Babiker, M., Brinkman, S., Calvo, E., Carter, T., Edmonds, J., Elgizouli, I., Emori, S., Erda, L., Hibbard, K., Jones, R., Kainuma, M., Kelleher, J., Lamarque, J.F., Manning, M., Matthews, B., Meehl, G., Meyer, L., Mitchell, J., Nakicenovic, N., O’Neill, B., Pichs, T., Riahi, K., Rose, S., Runci, P., Stouffer, R., van Vuuren, D., Weyant, J., Wilbanks, T., van Ypersele, J.P., and M. Zurek (2008). Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Geneva, 132 pp.
• The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment
  Moss, R., H., J. A. Edmonds, K. A. Hibbard, M. R. Manning, S. K. Rose, D. P. van Vuuren, T. R. Carter, S. Emori, M. Kainuma, T. Kram, G. A. Meehl, J. F. B. Mitchell, N. Nakicenovic, K. Riahi, S. J. Smith, R. J. Stouffer, A. M. Thomson, J. P. Weyant and T. J. Wilbanks (2010). Nature, 463, 747-756, doi:10.1038/nature08823.
• Special Report on Emissions Scenarios: A Special Report of Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
  Nakicenovic, N., J. Alcamo, G. Davis, B. de Vries, J. Fenhann, S. Gaffin, K. Gregory, A. Grübler, T. Yong Jung, T. Kram, E. Lebre La Rovere, L. Michaelis, S. Mori, T. Morita, W. Pepper, H. Pitcher, L. Price, K. Riahi, A. Roehrl, H.-H. Rogner, A. Sankovski, M. Schlesinger, P. Shukla, S. Smith, R. Swart, S. van Rooijen, N. Victor, Z. Dadi, (2000), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, U.K., 599 pp. 
• Multimodel projections of stratospheric ozone in the 21st Century
  Eyring, V., D. W. Waugh, G. E. Bodeker, E. Cordero, H. Akiyoshi, J. Austin, S. R. Beagley, B. Boville, P. Braesicke, C. Bru.hl, N. Butchart, M. P. Chipperfield, M. Dameris, R. Deckert, M. Deushi, S. M. Frith, R. R. Garcia, A. Gettelman, M. Giorgetta, D. E. Kinnison, E. Mancini, E. Manzini, D. R. Marsh, S. Matthes, T. Nagashima, P. A. Newman, J. E. Nielsen, S. Pawson, G. Pitari, D. A. Plummer, E. Rozanov, M. Schraner, J. F. Scinocca, K. Semeniuk, T. G. Shepherd, K. Shibata, B. Steil, R. Stolarski, W. Tian, and M. Yoshiki, (2007) J. Geophys. Res., 112, D16303, doi:10.1029/2006JD008332.

Climate Feedbacks

• How well do we understand and evaluate climate change feedback processes?
  Bony S, R Colman, V M Kattsov, R P Allan, C S Bretherton, J-L Dufresne, A Hall, S Hallegatte, M M Holland, W Ingram, D A Randall, B J Soden, G Tselioudis and M J Webb, (2006): J. Climate,19 (15), 3445-3482
• CFMIP-GCSS plans for advancing assessments of cloud-climate feedbacks.
  Bony S, M Webb, B Stevens, C Bretherton, S Klein and G Tselioudis (2008): GEWEX News, 18, No. 4, pp 10-12.
• An assessment of the primary sources of spread of global warming estimates from coupled atmosphere-ocean models
  Dufresne J.-L.,and S. Bony (2008). J. Climate, 21, 5135-5144, DOI 10.1175/2008JCLI2239.1.
• Climate-carbon cycle feedback analysis: Results from the C4MIP Model Intercomparison
  Friedlingstein, P., P. Cox, R. Betts, L. Bopp, W. vonBloh, V. Brovkin, P. Cadule, S. Doney, M.Eby, Kato, M. Kawamiya, W. Knorr, K. Lindsay, H.D. Mathews, T. Raddatz, P. Rayner, C. Reick, E. Roeckner, K.G. Schnitzler, R. Schnur, K. Strassmann, A.J. Weaver, C. Yoshikawa, and N. Zeng, (2006), J. Climate, 19, 3337-3353, doi:10.1175/JCLI3800.1.
• Efficacy of climate forcings
  Hansen, J., Mki. Sato, R. Ruedy, L. Nazarenko, A. Lacis, G.A. Schmidt, G. Russell, I. Aleinov, M. Bauer, S. Bauer, N. Bell, B. Cairns, V. Canuto, M. Chandler, Y. Cheng, A. Del Genio, G. Faluvegi, E. Fleming, A. Friend, T. Hall, C. Jackman, M. Kelley, N. Kiang, D. Koch, J. Lean, J. Lerner, K. Lo, S. Menon, R. Miller, P. Minnis, T. Novakov, V. Oinas, Ja. Perlwitz, Ju. Perlwitz, D. Rind, A. Romanou, D. Shindell, P. Stone, S. Sun, N. Tausnev, D. Thresher, B. Wielicki, T. Wong, M. Yao, and S. Zhang, (2005), J. Geophys. Res. 110, D18104, doi:10.1029/2005JD005776.
• A new method for diagnosing radiative forcing and climate sensitivity
  Gregory, J. M., W. J. Ingram, M. A. Palmer, G. S. Jones, P. A. Stott, R. B. Thorpe, J. A. Lowe, T. C. Johns, and K. D. Williams, (2004), Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L03205, doi:10.1029/2003GL018747.
• Tropospheric adjustment induces a cloud component in CO2 forcing
  Gregory, J.M., and M. J. Webb, (2008), J. of Climate, 21, 58-71, doi:10.1175/2007JCLI1834.1.