Seminar Series 2026 #09
25 November @ 16:00 – 17:00 UTC
Registration
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Speakers
Tsedrik Sofya Category 1 Engineer, Arctic and Antarctic Research Institute, Russain Federation.
Title: Changes in the Ice Cover of the Russian Arctic Seas in the 21st Century Based on the Results of Climate Models of the CMIP6 Project
Abstract: In our study, we calculated the reduced ice extent of the Russian Arctic seas using satellite data and the results of the CMIP6 MPI-ESM1-2-HR and AWI-CM-1-1-MR models. By comparing the key statistical characteristics of the resulting series for 2015–2023, we evaluate the differences between the modelling and remote sensing data and propose an optimal scenario for studying possible changes in ice extent. The quality of ice cover modelling was assessed, and scenarios were selected that most closely matched the satellite data for both the entire Russian Arctic water area and for individual seas. Based on the assumed optimal scenarios, possible changes in ice content were predicted.
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