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Workshop: Pathway to regular and sustained delivery of climate forcing datasets

28 October @ 13:00 31 October @ 13:00 GMT

Context

In discussions around a potential sustained mode or “operational” CMIP activity, provision of climate forcing datasets has been identified as high priority for moving to a regular delivery mode to meet user needs and sustained by appropriate funding, resources and infrastructure. Indeed, one of the CMIP Climate Forcing Task Team core goals is to “Work with teams to identify, develop, document and deliver an updated and expanded forcing collection to near real time”. There is strong agreement around this ambition; however, the reality of implementation is complex and the funding landscape remains fragmented. In addition, we recognize that the very development of climate forcing datasets has a foot in basic research developing the knowledge of historical evolution of forcing agents, and quantifying their uncertainties, which has to occur in parallel to their “operational” use – both need to be sustained and augmented if the ambition is to be realized.

This four day workshop will be an opportunity to review the current provision model, discuss the key challenges, hear from users and potential users of the data, co-create a range of practical implementation options, develop the vision and generate concrete actions towards regular and sustained climate forcings dataset delivery. The outcomes of the workshop will feed into the CMIP sustained mode scoping study being led by Helene Hewitt (CMIP Panel Co-chair) and Greg Flato (WGCM Co-chair).

Registration

Deadline for registrations: Monday 30th September 2024

You can register your interest in attending the workshop, either in person or virtually, via the registration form. There is a limit on in-person capacity so we have asked you to provide a short justification of your interest in attending the workshop and how you feel you can contribute to discussions. There is no limit on virtual attendance and we are committed to ensuring a high quality experience for those virtual attendees.

Programme

An overview programme can be found below with a more detailed session breakdown available to download here.

Time (UTC/GMT)MONDAY 28 OCTOBER
13:00-15:00Session 1: CMIP7 DECK forcings focus (Chairs: Paul Durack, Vaishali Naik)
Task Team member updates (all data providers)
First look at v0 datasets compared to CMIP6 (Fresh Eyes)
Q&A/Discussion
Addressing critical issues
Identifying key data dependencies
15:00-15:30Afternoon tea break
15:30-18:00Session 2: Scenario forcings and harmonisation (Chairs: Jarmo Kikstra, Steve Smith)
Status, plans and timeline
Lessons learned from RESCUE
Addressing challenges
Time (UTC/GMT)TUESDAY 29 OCTOBER
09:00-12:30 Session 3: CMIP7 DECK protocol development (Chairs: Vaishali Naik and Ben Sanderson)
Status of v0 data implementation in models
Summary of DECK experimental protocol in CMIP6
Revisiting piControl/ScenarioMIP protocol
Guidance development including report to CMIP Core Panel
12:30-13:30Lunch
13:30-14:30Community drop-in session (Chairs: Vaishali Naik, Paul Durack)
Latest update on CMIP7 DECK forcing datasets including testing and planned publication of AR7 Fast Track versions.

Open to all interested with opportunity to submit questions before, during and after
the session to ensure global participation is enabled.
14:30-16:00Session 4: Addressing Gaps and Uncertainties in Forcing Datasets (Chair: Paul Durack)
Setting the stage – Paul Durack
How are historical/DECK forcings implemented in an ESM
Observational gaps and uncertainties using an example forcing dataset
How do we identify and recommend forcings datasets for models
Alternate datasets to address missing processes in models or elucidate uncertainties in forcings 
Discussions leading to decisions on inclusion of additional forcings for delivery
16:00-16:30Afternoon tea break
16:30-18:00Session 5: What are the MIP needs? (Chair: Stephanie Fiedler)
Population density data (HYDE) – highlighting the need from the models’ perspective
Dust emissions
Land-only and ocean-only atmospheric forcing datasets
Other contributed datasets – scenarios/idealized 

Outcome – identify points of contact for forcing data delivery 
18:00-20:00ICE BREAKER: Posters and drinks (Location: ECMWF)
Time (UTC/GMT)WEDNESDAY 30 OCTOBER
09:00-10:30Session 6: Sustained mode challenges    
Setting the stage (Zeb Nicholls)       
Refining the challenges for both historical and scenario forcings.
Refining the presentation of the current process and proposed options for sustained mode for the plenary session.
10:30-11:00Morning tea break and arrival of plenary participants
11:00-12:30PLENARY 1: The need for sustained mode forcings (Chair: Anca Brookshaw)
What do we mean by sustained mode? (Helene Hewitt)
User needs panel: sharing use cases and reflecting on experience of using forcing datasets.
Open floor discussion
12:30-13:30Lunch
13:30-15:30PLENARY 2: The current status and potential challenges for sustained mode (Chair: Eleanor O’Rourke)
What is happening now? – the CMIP7 experience (Paul Durack and Vaishali Naik)
Summary of potential sustained mode challenges (Zeb Nicholls)
Funders panel
15:30-16:00Afternoon tea break
16:00-18:30PLENARY 3: Can we address the challenges? (Chair: Claire MacIntosh)
The research-operationalisation question
Open floor discussion
Building the vision:  What are the requirements? Sensitivities?
19:30-22:00WORKSHOP DINNER (Location: Thames Lido)
Participants by coach directly from ECMWF at 19:00
Time (UTC/GMT)THURSDAY 31 OCTOBER
09:00-11:00PLENARY 4: Realising the vision (Chair: Carlo Buontempo)
Reflecting and refining the vision
How can this vision be achieved?
11:00-11:30Morning tea break
11.30-13:00PLENARY 5: Next steps (Chair: Carlo Buontempo)
What are the next steps – tangible actions with timeline and assigned responsibilities
13:00-Additional meetings as required including:
BECCS workshop

Venue and logistics

The workshop is free to attend, however, travel, lunch and accommodation costs cannot be reimbursed and must be met by the participant. Lunch will be available for purchase on site.

ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading – location and travel details can be found here. We suggest in person participants stay in Reading town centre – there is a wider choice of accommodation and a regular bus service to the ECMWF site (Reading Buses run bus number 3 between Reading station and Wokingham, via Shinfield Road (stop at ‘Shinfield Park, Weather Centre’) check timetables). Tickets can be bought on the bus using cash (exact money) or contactless card payments. If booking a taxi, it might help the taxi driver if you ask for ‘the Weather Centre on Shinfield Road’ instead of ‘ECMWF’.

Meeting dinner

The meeting dinner will take place at Thames Lido, hosted by European Space Agency, at 19:30 on Wednesday 30th October in central Reading, an Edwardian era swimming bath that has been recently renovated and reopened.

Organising committee

  • CMIP Climate Forcings Task Team Co-leads Vaishali Naik (GFDL/NOAA), Paul Durack (PCMDI/LLNL) and Task Team members.
  • Copernicus Climate Services – Carlo Buontempo,  Anca Brookshaw, Chris Goddard
  • ESA Climate and Long Term Action Division – Claire MacIntosh
  • CMIP International Project Office – Eleanor O’Rourke

Questions?

If you have any questions please contact the CMIP IPO.

ECMWF

ECMWF, Shinfield Park
Reading, RG2 9AX United Kingdom
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